Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.002304 0.002439 0.002583 0.002748 0.002934 0.003137 0.003378
2025-02-02 0.002101 0.002289 0.002500 0.002757 0.003066 0.003433 0.003910
2025-02-09 0.001998 0.002224 0.002489 0.002829 0.003263 0.003817 0.004608
2025-02-16 0.001893 0.002141 0.002440 0.002838 0.003373 0.004098 0.005225
2025-02-23 0.001845 0.002118 0.002458 0.002928 0.003590 0.004552 0.006202
2025-03-02 0.001755 0.002034 0.002388 0.002889 0.003621 0.004734 0.006795
2025-03-09 0.001666 0.001945 0.002303 0.002819 0.003594 0.004819 0.007236
2025-03-16 0.001633 0.001925 0.002307 0.002873 0.003755 0.005234 0.008473
2025-03-23 0.001601 0.001902 0.002305 0.002916 0.003904 0.005656 0.009946
2025-03-30 0.001547 0.001849 0.002256 0.002885 0.003925 0.005846 0.010962
2025-04-06 0.001484 0.001779 0.002179 0.002804 0.003852 0.005837 0.011419
2025-04-13 0.001441 0.001735 0.002138 0.002775 0.003867 0.006008 0.012561
2025-04-20 0.001356 0.001632 0.002012 0.002610 0.003635 0.005644 0.011776
2025-04-27 0.001329 0.001610 0.002000 0.002627 0.003735 0.006025 0.014046
2025-05-04 0.001318 0.001609 0.002020 0.002697 0.003939 0.006708 0.018789
2025-05-11 0.001293 0.001586 0.002005 0.002706 0.004032 0.007151 0.023664
2025-05-18 0.001286 0.001590 0.002031 0.002788 0.004280 0.008121 0.038270
2025-05-25 0.001253 0.001553 0.001992 0.002753 0.004279 0.008360 0.048249
2025-06-01 0.001215 0.001508 0.001939 0.002689 0.004209 0.008364 0.055312
2025-06-08 0.001204 0.001504 0.001948 0.002738 0.004395 0.009311 0.131226
2025-06-15 0.001193 0.001497 0.001953 0.002778 0.004566 0.010327 3.359587
2025-06-22 0.001167 0.001468 0.001922 0.002749 0.004571 0.010689 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001133 0.001426 0.001868 0.002675 0.004456 0.010480 NaN